SUMUDAERJI
Confidence
KO/TKO
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
KO/TKO is projected at 59% probability, driven by Sumudaerji's extraordinary knockout rate and the dynamic of Perez having to push forward into the longer fighter's power. Sumudaerji's reach allows him to land clean shots as Perez enters the pocket.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Sumudaerji's massive reach advantage, superior striking accuracy (50% vs 46%), and dramatically better defensive metrics (absorbing nearly a full strike less per minute) position him to dominate at range against a fighter who needs to close distance. His flyweight-rare knockout power — 13 KO wins — makes him especially dangerous against Perez, who absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute and has to wade through shots to engage. The Elo ratings also slightly favor Sumudaerji at 1560 versus 1542.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Perez's 48% takedown accuracy and 67 seconds of average control time could neutralize the striking advantages if he successfully closes distance
- ⚠Sumudaerji's six submission losses represent a critical vulnerability if Perez chains takedowns into grappling exchanges
- ⚠At a slim 55% confidence, this fight is essentially a coin flip — any adjustment in game plan or early momentum shift could swing the outcome
