PAVLOVICH
Confidence
KO/TKO
Pavlovich 82%
18% Teixeira
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
With a combined 22 KO wins between them and both fighters' willingness to engage in open exchanges, this fight overwhelmingly favors a knockout finish. Pavlovich's superior power and experience at the elite level make him the more likely man to land the decisive blow.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Pavlovich's devastating knockout power — 15 KO wins in 20 victories — meets a fighter who absorbs strikes at a high rate and defends only 42% of incoming shots. Despite Teixeira's accuracy edge, Pavlovich's experience against top-tier heavyweights and his ability to end fights with single exchanges gives him a decisive advantage in what projects as a firefight. The Elo gap of 43 points further supports Pavlovich's quality edge at this level.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Teixeira's 64% accuracy and 5.02 strikes per minute could overwhelm Pavlovich early, especially given Pavlovich absorbs 3.62 strikes per minute
- ⚠Pavlovich has been knocked out twice, proving he is not invulnerable to power — and Teixeira has 7 KO wins
- ⚠Teixeira's 4-inch height advantage and comparable reach could neutralize Pavlovich's usual range control
