SCHNELL
Confidence
Submission
Method of Victory
SUBMISSION
Submission is the most likely path given Schnell's 9 career tapouts and Rodriguez's non-existent takedown defense. Once the fight hits the mat, Schnell's scramble-heavy style and submission chaining should create multiple finishing windows across three rounds.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Schnell's 9 career submission victories represent more than half his wins, and Rodriguez's 0% takedown defense practically invites the exchanges where Schnell thrives. Rodriguez has shown no finishing ability in tracked bouts, meaning Schnell can afford to absorb early output while working toward the clinch and ground. The experience gap — 27 professional fights versus 7 — further favors Schnell in high-pressure scrambles where composure matters most.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Schnell has been stopped 5 times by knockout; Rodriguez's crisp 55% striking accuracy and 5.71 SLPM could catch Schnell clean before grappling engages
- ⚠Rodriguez's 213-second average control time suggests that if he gets top position first, he could smother Schnell and neutralize the submission threat
- ⚠At 17-10, Schnell's inconsistency is undeniable — he has dropped fights at this level before and may be on the wrong side of his career arc
