BRITO
Confidence
Submission
Method of Victory
SUBMISSION
The submission prediction stems from the high likelihood of extended grappling exchanges. While Brito is expected to secure takedowns, the scramble-heavy nature of the fight — with both men having sub-50% takedown defense — creates ample submission opportunities, and Brito's wrestling pressure could generate transition moments where he locks in a choke or strangle.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Brito's 67% takedown accuracy is nearly double Leavitt's 34%, giving him a decisive wrestling advantage that should allow him to control the fight's geography. Leavitt's abysmal 30% takedown defense means Brito should have little trouble putting him on the canvas. While Brito's striking defense is poor, Leavitt's modest 2.21 strikes per minute output limits the damage he can inflict standing, allowing Brito to close distance and wrestle at will.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Leavitt is extraordinarily dangerous off his back with 7 submission wins — Brito diving into top position could play directly into Leavitt's strongest weapon
- ⚠Leavitt's superior striking accuracy (57% vs 51%) and defensive discipline could make a stand-up approach more viable than expected
- ⚠This is Leavitt's apparent move to 145 pounds, and the weight cut uncertainty could either sharpen or drain him unpredictably
