CACHOEIRA
Confidence
KO/TKO
Chandler 12%
88% Cachoeira
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
A KO/TKO finish is the most likely outcome, driven by Cachoeira's devastating knockout rate (8 of 13 wins) meeting Chandler's poor striking defense at 40%. The sheer volume of strikes Cachoeira throws (4.43 per minute) against a fighter who absorbs more than she dishes out creates high probability of a stoppage.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Cachoeira's knockout power is the decisive factor here — 8 KO/TKO wins demonstrate consistent finishing ability, and Chandler absorbs 4.44 strikes per minute with only 40% striking defense, making her highly hittable. While Chandler's grappling is a threat, Cachoeira's 69% takedown defense should keep the fight on the feet often enough for her power to land clean. The Elo ratings slightly favor Cachoeira (1497 vs 1487), and the striking exchanges should consistently tilt in her favor given the volume and power disparity.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Chandler's 60% takedown accuracy against Cachoeira's submission vulnerability (4 sub losses) creates a realistic path to victory on the ground if Chandler can get past the TDD
- ⚠Cachoeira's absorption rate of 7.6 SAPM means she could accumulate significant damage even while winning exchanges, opening the door for a late Chandler rally
- ⚠Chandler's 3-inch reach advantage (68 vs 65 inches) could allow her to establish range and disrupt Cachoeira's forward pressure with longer strikes
