HORIGUCHI
Confidence
Decision
Method of Victory
DECISION
Decision is the most likely outcome at 51% probability, driven by Horiguchi's defensive style that limits damage while accumulating points. Neither fighter is easy to finish — Kape has zero KO losses and Horiguchi rarely gets stopped — making a full three-round contest the expected trajectory.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Horiguchi's defensive striking profile — absorbing nearly half the strikes Kape takes per minute — positions him to win rounds cleanly on the judges' cards. His ability to accumulate over three minutes of average control time gives him a clear secondary path to winning rounds when the striking is close. With 15 decision wins on his resume compared to Kape's 3, Horiguchi has repeatedly demonstrated he knows how to navigate three-round fights and earn scorecards.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Kape's sheer volume (5.04 SLpM) could overwhelm Horiguchi's lower offensive output and create a perception of dominance with judges
- ⚠Kape has never been knocked out, meaning Horiguchi's power may not be enough to shortcut a decision path
- ⚠If Kape's 81% takedown defense holds, it neutralizes Horiguchi's most significant edge in control time
