PETROSKI
Confidence
Submission
Method of Victory
SUBMISSION
Submission is the most likely finish given Petroski's prolific sub attempts (1.8 per fight), zero career submission losses, and Brundage's two submission defeats. Once Petroski secures top position, Brundage's limited ability to escape control makes him vulnerable to chokes and arm locks.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Petroski's 51% takedown accuracy should feast on Brundage's 68% takedown defense, creating ample opportunities to establish top position. Once there, Petroski's nearly 200-second average control time dwarfs Brundage's 84 seconds, and his 1.8 submission attempts per fight against a fighter who has been submitted twice before creates a clear path to victory. The 76-point Elo gap further supports Petroski as the more proven UFC competitor.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Petroski has been knocked out four times, and Brundage carries genuine one-punch power with six KO wins — an early exchange could end this fight before grappling becomes a factor
- ⚠Brundage is a dangerous early-round fighter who may be most threatening in the opening minutes before Petroski establishes his grappling tempo
- ⚠If Petroski cannot secure takedowns efficiently, the striking differential on the feet is close enough that Brundage could steal rounds with power shots
