ARDELEAN
Confidence
Decision
Method of Victory
DECISION
Decision is the most likely outcome at 49% because Ardelean's volume and wrestling control should accumulate rounds, while Viana's inability to win on the scorecards and Ardelean's relentless pace make a finish less likely unless Viana catches something early.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Ardelean's massive volume advantage (7.35 SLPM vs. 2.74) should allow her to dominate the scorecards if the fight stays on the feet or in top position. Her 85% takedown defense neutralizes Viana's best path to victory — dragging the fight to the mat on her own terms — while Ardelean's 117-second average control time and wrestling threat exploit Viana's glaring 35% TDD. The Elo gap (1550.87 vs. 1520.63) and Viana's inability to win decisions (0 career decision wins) further tilt a three-round fight toward Ardelean.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Viana's 5-inch reach advantage and finishing power (5 KOs, 8 subs) mean one clean shot or caught limb could end the fight at any moment
- ⚠Ardelean absorbs 5.2 significant strikes per minute — if her pace dips in the later rounds, Viana could capitalize with counter power
- ⚠Ardelean's lack of documented finish breakdowns at this level makes it unclear how she responds if hurt or in deep submission danger
