Method of Victory
KO/TKO
The most likely finish path is KO/TKO at 41%, reflecting Wells' ability to land heavy ground-and-pound after establishing control. Dalby has been stopped before by strikes, and Wells' five knockout wins suggest real power when he gets opponents where he wants them.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Wells' massive control time advantage — over 5.5 minutes per fight compared to Dalby's 4 minutes — suggests he can stifle Dalby's volume game once he secures clinches and takedowns. Dalby's relatively modest 59% takedown defense is a vulnerability against a fighter who lands nearly half his attempts. Wells' low absorption rate also indicates he's disciplined in avoiding damage while working for his preferred range.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Dalby's striking volume advantage (3.88 vs 2.35 SLPM) could dominate scoring if Wells fails to secure takedowns early
- ⚠Dalby's higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1596) reflects a stronger recent trajectory and deeper competitive experience
- ⚠Wells' 48% striking defense could be exposed by Dalby's sustained output over three rounds if the fight stays standing
