O'MALLEY
Confidence
Decision
Method of Victory
DECISION
Decision is the most likely outcome at 45% probability. O'Malley's volume and range control should accumulate clear round-by-round scoring advantages, but Zahabi's defensive acumen and durability make a stoppage less likely than a competitive points fight.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
O'Malley's 6.05 strikes landed per minute paired with his 60% accuracy gives him a massive volume and efficiency edge over Zahabi's 4.54 SLPM at just 47% accuracy. The 4-inch reach advantage compounds this disparity, allowing O'Malley to operate at a distance where he connects cleanly while Zahabi's shots fall short. With Elo ratings nearly identical (1639 vs 1630), the striking metrics and physical dimensions tilt the scales in O'Malley's favor across three rounds.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Zahabi's 69% striking defense and durability (only 1 KO loss in 16 fights) could allow him to weather O'Malley's output and push a close decision
- ⚠Zahabi averages 29 seconds of control time compared to O'Malley's 3 seconds — if Zahabi can close distance and clinch, he may steal rounds with physicality
- ⚠O'Malley's 60% takedown defense leaves a window for Zahabi to occasionally drag the fight to the mat, despite Zahabi's poor 14% takedown accuracy
