MAGOMEDOV
Confidence
KO/TKO
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
If Magomedov gets this fight where he wants it, his power and volume make a knockout the likeliest finish — but given how close this matchup reads, a competitive decision is very much in play either way.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
This is a genuine coin flip and worth flagging as such — the two are separated by almost nothing on paper. The lean toward Magomedov rides on his cleaner offense and finishing pedigree: 5.93 strikes a minute at 62% accuracy versus Pereira's 4.46 at 51%, plus a spotless record with no knockout losses. If it stays standing for long stretches, Shara's accuracy and power edge tip a razor-thin margin his way.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Pereira's wrestling is the great equalizer — 56% takedown accuracy against Magomedov's 71% defense and total lack of offensive wrestling could turn this into a grind Shara can't reverse
- ⚠Magomedov's 43% striking defense leaves him available; Pereira has the power to capitalize if he commits to striking
- ⚠Over three full rounds, the more experienced and versatile Pereira has more paths to victory — and nine career decision wins show he knows how to bank rounds
