ALISKEROV
Confidence
Submission
Ferreira 48%
52% Aliskerov
Method of Victory
SUBMISSION
Submission is the cleanest path — Aliskerov has the takedown game and control time to put Ferreira on his back, and Ferreira's mat defense is largely untested against this caliber of grappler.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Aliskerov is the rounder, busier fighter — he nearly doubles Ferreira's striking output and brings a grappling game Ferreira simply can't match, given Ferreira lands almost no takedowns of his own. With control time pushing 80 seconds a fight and a perfect takedown defense rate, Aliskerov can dictate where this happens. That said, this is a coin flip you respect: Aliskerov's 41% striking defense and two career knockout losses are real liabilities against a man whose entire game is power, so the lean is thin and honestly earned.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Aliskerov gets hit a lot, and Ferreira only needs one clean shot to flip the night
- ⚠Both of Aliskerov's losses came by KO — that's the exact way Ferreira finishes fights
- ⚠If Ferreira's takedown defense holds early, the striking exchanges favor the harder hitter
