MAGOMEDOV
Confidence
Submission
Magomedov 55%
45% Oleksiejczuk
Method of Victory
SUBMISSION
The cleanest route to victory is a submission: Oleksiejczuk has been tapped six times, and Magomedov has the reach, scrambling, and sub instincts to drag him into deep water. Expect this to end on the mat rather than the scorecards if Magomedov gets his hands on him.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
This is a genuine coin flip — the two are separated by barely a point in rating and the standup math is razor-thin, so don't bet the house. The lean toward Magomedov rests on one concrete crack: Oleksiejczuk's six submission losses against only 52% takedown defense, and Magomedov has both the sub threat and the size to exploit it the moment this leaves the feet. If it stays purely a striking match, this is anybody's night.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Magomedov absorbs 3.2 per minute and has been knocked out twice — Oleksiejczuk's 16 KOs mean one clean exchange can end it
- ⚠If Magomedov can't impose grappling, Oleksiejczuk's higher volume and accuracy likely win the striking battle on the cards
- ⚠Magomedov has his own three submission losses, so a ground phase isn't automatically his — scrambles cut both ways
