QASMIEH

Confidence

Decision

Method of Victory

DECISION

A decision is the most likely outcome at 51%, which aligns with the typical pattern of two debuting flyweights who are unlikely to carry significant power or submission expertise into a pro cage for the first time. Caution and pacing often dominate debut bouts.

The pick leans narrowly toward Qasmieh despite his slightly lower Elo, reflecting an essentially coin-flip assessment where the raw probability sits at just over 50% for either man. With no statistical separation between these two fighters, the edge is functionally negligible, but the model gives the marginal nod to Qasmieh based on composite latent factors baked into the rating differential being so small that underdog value tilts the pick.