Method of Victory
DECISION
Decision is the most likely outcome at 40% probability. Davis has 11 decision wins — more than half his victories — and against an unknown quantity like Shabliy, expect him to lean on volume and experience to outpoint rather than chase a finish against an unpredictable opponent.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Davis holds meaningful edges in both experience (20-6 vs 2-1) and Elo rating (1574 vs 1543). With 11 decision wins on his record, he's shown the ability to grind through rounds and accumulate volume — a critical advantage against an opponent with only 3 pro fights who may struggle to sustain output across a full 15 minutes. Shabliy's 1-fight losing streak and razor-thin résumé offer little evidence he can hang with a seasoned competitor.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Both fighters have been out for 20+ months — ring rust is a massive equalizer, and Davis's experience edge could be negated if neither man looks sharp
- ⚠Shabliy's tiny sample size (3 fights) means a hidden skill ceiling could exist that the data simply can't capture — he's a true unknown
- ⚠Davis loses most of his losses by decision (67%), so if Shabliy can force a tactical chess match, he could steal rounds and exploit Davis's tendency to fade in close fights
