Method of Victory
DECISION
Decision is the slight favorite at 38%, edging out KO (36%) and submission (26%). McKee's defensive style and low finish rate in tracked PFL data point toward a controlled, point-fighting approach where he outworks Isbulaev over five rounds without needing to take risks for a stoppage.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
McKee's 1819 Elo rating towers over Isbulaev's 1514 — a gap of over 300 points reflecting a massive difference in proven competition level. His 4-fight win streak and 24-2 record against far superior opposition give him every structural advantage. Both alt-data signals align in McKee's favor, and his defensive metrics (0.92 strikes absorbed per minute, 80% defense, 100% TD defense) suggest Isbulaev will struggle to find openings across five rounds.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Isbulaev is a complete unknown — zero tracked metrics means there could be hidden knockout power or grappling ability that the model can't account for
- ⚠McKee's 32% striking accuracy could allow a durable, aggressive opponent to build confidence and land counters as the fight progresses
- ⚠Five-round scheduling in a non-title Champions Series showcase could lead to pacing issues if McKee coasts against an opponent he doesn't respect
