Method of Victory
KO/TKO
The model leans KO/TKO at 43%, reflecting Jackson's ability to accumulate damage with his volume advantage and reach. Against a fighter who absorbs nearly 3 strikes per minute and has defensive accuracy issues, a late stoppage or referee intervention from accumulated damage is the likeliest finish path.
⚡FightIQ Analysis
Jackson's 120 ELO rating advantage reflects a meaningfully higher level of competition faced and overcome. His striking volume edge (3.1 vs 2.6 significant strikes per minute) combines with better accuracy (45% vs 40%) and a 4-inch reach advantage to create a persistent standup problem for Creighton. Jackson's 155-second average control time also suggests that if the fight goes to the mat on his terms, he dominates position.
Risk Factors
- ⚠Creighton's 1.2 submission average means any scramble or sloppy takedown attempt could expose Jackson to a fight-ending choke or lock
- ⚠Jackson's two career knockout losses indicate genuine vulnerability to clean power shots if Creighton times a counter
- ⚠At only 55% confidence, this is essentially a coin-flip fight where Creighton's youth and 12-2 trajectory could tip the scales on fight night
