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Fight Night
Bantamweight · Prelims
Castañeda
›
21–8–1
D
L
L
W
W
VS
›
Alatengheili
17–10–2
L
W
L
W
W
Castañeda
vs
Alatengheili
Overview
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Overview
Forecast
Castañeda
57%
SLIGHT FAVORITE
DECISION
60%
Likely fight outcome
FightIQ Read
FightIQ favors Castañeda at 57%.
SHARE THIS FIGHT
How This Fight Ends
FightIQ
UFC History
FIGHTIQ
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
13%
Decision
60%
FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST
Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.
Your pick
Castañeda
Alatengheili
Optional prop picks
Track your own calls
Method
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Fight length · 1.5 rounds
Over 1.5 rounds
Under 1.5 rounds
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
Castañeda
Alatengheili
Slight edge: Castañeda
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
Castañeda
Alatengheili
Even
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Castañeda
Alatengheili
Moderate edge: Castañeda
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING STATS
TAKEDOWN STATS
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
HISTORY & COMMON OPPONENTS
Fight Shape
Historical UFC bantamweight · 3-round fights · 278 fights · past 5 years
PRETTY TYPICAL.
This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
73%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
63%
typical
Full distance
60%
FightIQ
58%
typical
Reaching the cards is about normal here.
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Why this fight may differ
Market
Odds haven’t loaded for this fight yet. Check back closer to fight night.
Line Movement
No line data yet. Check back closer to fight night.
Best Available Price
Odds not yet available.