MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

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Fight Night

Lightweight · Main Card

BrenervsHarrell

Overview Matchup Fight Shape Market

Overview

Forecast

Brener66%

STRONG FAVORITE

DECISION55%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Brener at 66%.

How This Fight Ends

FIGHTIQ

KO/TKO: 25%
Submission: 20%
Decision: 55%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

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STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE

Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.

BrenerHarrell

Slight edge: Brener

WRESTLING & CONTROL

Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.

BrenerHarrell

Clear edge: Brener

FINISH THREAT

Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.

BrenerHarrell

Even

Fight Shape

Historical UFC lightweight · 3-round fights · 336 fights · past 5 years

LOW KO RISK. This projects to end by knockout less often than a normal fight in this division.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

63%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

49%typical

Full distance

55%FightIQ

44%typical

Reaching the cards is higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

Odds haven’t loaded for this fight yet. Check back closer to fight night.

Line Movement

No line data yet. Check back closer to fight night.

Best Available Price

Odds not yet available.