FightIQ favors Rosas Jr. at 57%. Raul Rosas Jr. averages 6.1 takedowns per 15 minutes to 2.5 for Raoni Barcelos, creating the clearest verified contrast in a fight that profiles most often for a submission.
FightIQ whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
| Barcelos | Metric | Rosas Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Age | 21 |
| 5′7″ | Height | 5′9″ |
| 67″ | Reach | 67″ |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 135 lbs | Weigh-in | 136 lbs |
Official weigh-in results.
Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.
Style history is temporarily unavailable.
5 recorded bouts shown
5 recorded bouts shown
Longer bar means higher opponent quality.
Rosas Jr. won the prior meeting by KO/TKO.
Historical UFC bantamweight · 5-round fights · 26 fights · past 5 years
This projects to end by knockout less often than a normal fight in this division.
Reaching the cards is much higher than normal here.
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Barcelos has 11 decision wins and Rosas has 4. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.
FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Rosas Jr..
This is context, not a recommendation.
Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.
UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 58% historically.
