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Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado Overview

Noche UFC
Featherweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastSilva68%STRONG FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Silva
VS
Delgado
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Silva at 68%.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO31%
Submission14%
Decision55%

FightIQ whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
SilvaMetricDelgado
29Age28
5′6″Height5′11″
69″Reach74″
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
145 lbsWeigh-in145.5 lbs

Official weigh-in results.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

0.73Sig. strikes / min7.48
2.93Absorbed / minLower is better4.95
50%Accuracy54%
52%Defense50%
Wrestling & Control
1.20Takedown avg.1.51
50%Takedown accuracy40%
74%Takedown defense63%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Silva

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WJose DelgadoR3 · SUB
  2. WArnold AllenR3 · Decision
  3. LDiego LopesR2 · KO/TKO
  4. WBryce MitchellR2 · Submission
  5. WMelsik BaghdasaryanR1 · KO/TKO

Delgado

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LJean SilvaR3 · SUB
  2. WAustin BashiR3 · U-DEC
  3. WAndre FiliR3 · S-DEC
  4. LNathaniel WoodR3 · U-DEC
  5. WHyder AmilR1 · KO/TKO

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Silva
Checking history…
Delgado
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Silva won the prior meeting by SUB.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC featherweight · 5-round fights · 27 fights · past 5 years

LOW KO RISK.

This projects to end by knockout less often than a normal fight in this division.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
78%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
60%Typical
Full distance
55%FightIQ
45%Typical

Reaching the cards is higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

Odds Over Time
SilvaDelgado
At event start-395+310
Open-425+330
Event-time · DraftKings
Open · DraftKings · Aug 22, 5:00 PM UTC
MovementThe market moved about 1.1 percentage points toward Delgado.Market moved about 1.1 points toward Delgado.67 comparable observations · DraftKings
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedSilva-425-395Delgado+330+310
Aug 22, 5pm UTC → Sep 12, 8pm UTC67 observations
SilvaDelgado
-395+310Aug 22, 5pmSep 12, 8pm
Sep 12, 8pm UTCSilva -395Delgado +310
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
FightIQ & market comparison
WinnerSilva
FightIQ68%Market77%

The market favors Silva more strongly than FightIQ does.

MethodKO/TKOFightIQ31%Market64%
MethodFightIQMarket
KO/TKO31%64%
Submission14%13%
Decision55%23%

This is context, not a recommendation.

How market probabilities are calculated

Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.

History at similar prices76%

UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 76% historically.

  • 896 UFC fights
  • 1–99% market probability range
  • All UFC weight classes
  • Jan 2023–Aug 2026
Historical context · not a prediction for this fight
Compare sportsbook prices7 sportsbooks
SportsbookSilvaDelgado
DraftKings-395+310
FanDuel-430+340
BetMGM-450+340
BetOnline-425+325
Sportsbook market-380+300
Betus-425+324
Betrivers-435+310