FightIQ favors Nurmagomedov at 80%.
FightIQ whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
| Nurmagomedov | Metric | Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Age | 28 |
| 5′8″ | Height | 5′8″ |
| 69″ | Reach | 67″ |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 135.5 lbs | Weigh-in | 136 lbs |
Official weigh-in results.
Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.
Style history is temporarily unavailable.
5 recorded bouts shown
5 recorded bouts shown
Longer bar means higher opponent quality.
Yadong won the prior meeting by KO/TKO.
Cory Sandhagen: Nurmagomedov win, Yadong loss.
Historical UFC bantamweight · 5-round fights · 25 fights · past 5 years
This projects to end by knockout less often than a normal fight in this division.
Reaching the cards is higher than normal here.
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Nurmagomedov has 11 decision wins and Yadong has 10. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.
FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Nurmagomedov.
This is context, not a recommendation.
Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.
UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 80% historically.
