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Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Overview

Fight Night
Flyweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastHoriguchi69%STRONG FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Kape
VS
Horiguchi
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Horiguchi at 69%.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO41%
Submission17%
Decision42%

Historical UFC flyweight · 5-round fights · 21 fights · past 5 years · historical context, not a second forecast

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
KapeMetricHoriguchi
32Age35
5′5″Height5′4″
68″Reach63″
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
126 lbsWeigh-in125 lbs

Official weigh-in results.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

5.04Sig. strikes / min3.77
4.08Absorbed / minLower is better2.13
56%Accuracy47%
57%Defense63%
Wrestling & Control
0.40Takedown avg.1.61
30%Takedown accuracy40%
81%Takedown defense61%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Kape

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WKyoji HoriguchiR3 · KO/TKO
  2. WBrandon RoyvalR1 · KO/TKO
  3. WAsu AlmabayevR3 · KO/TKO
  4. WBruno SilvaR3 · KO/TKO
  5. LMuhammad MokaevR3 · Decision

Horiguchi

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LManel KapeR3 · KO/TKO
  2. WAmir AlbaziR3 · Decision
  3. WTagir UlanbekovR3 · Submission
  4. WNkazimulo ZuluR3 · Decision
  5. WSergio PettisR3 · Decision

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Kape
Checking history…
Horiguchi
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Kape won the prior meeting by KO/TKO.

Ian McCall: Kape win, Horiguchi win.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC flyweight · 5-round fights · 21 fights · past 5 years

In these past fights, decision was the most common ending (42%). Historical context for this matchup, not a prediction.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
74%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
59%Typical
Full distance
42%Typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Kape's power meets a proven weakness

65% of Kape's wins come by knockout, and Horiguchi has been stopped by strikes 3 times. That is the clearest route to an early night.

Market

Odds over time

Current moneyline is not available for this fight.

A comparable second price has not been captured yet.