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Fight Night
Flyweight · Prelims
Miller
›
5–4–0
L
W
L
L
W
VS
›
Oliveira
7–5–1
L
L
L
W
W
Miller
vs
Oliveira
Overview
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Overview
Forecast
Miller
70%
STRONG FAVORITE
FightIQ Read
FightIQ favors Miller at 70%.
Current moneyline
Miller
-355
Oliveira
+280
Moneyline · DraftKings · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC
Market ›
SHARE RESULT
How This Fight Ends
Method forecast not available for this fight yet.
Your pick
Miller · R2
FightIQ called it
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
Miller
Oliveira
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
Miller
Oliveira
Slight edge: Oliveira
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Miller
Oliveira
Slight edge: Oliveira
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING STATS
TAKEDOWN STATS
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
DETAILED MATCHUP NOTES
Style and tendency context for both fighters
Fight Shape
Historical UFC women's flyweight · 3-round fights · 142 fights · past 5 years
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
79%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
66%
typical
Full distance
64%
typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Why this fight may differ
Market
MARKET FAVORS
MILLER
Miller
-355
DraftKings
Oliveira
+280
DraftKings
75%
25%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 70%
·
MARKET ESTIMATE 75%
The market favors Miller more strongly than FightIQ does.
History at Similar Prices
74%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 74% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First captured
Latest captured
Miller
-250
-355
Oliveira
+205
+280
Aug 3, 5pm UTC → Aug 8, 9pm UTC
62 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: 6.2 probability pts toward Miller.
Miller
Oliveira
-355
+280
Aug 3, 5pm
Aug 8, 9pm
Aug 8, 9pm UTC
Miller -355
Oliveira +280
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
Miller
-320
FanDuel · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC
Oliveira
+280
DraftKings · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC
Compare 4 sportsbooks
›