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Fight Night
Flyweight · Prelims
VS
MillervsOliveira
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket

Overview

Forecast
Miller70%
STRONG FAVORITE
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Miller at 70%.

Current moneyline
Miller -355Oliveira +280
Moneyline · DraftKings · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC
Market ›
How This Fight Ends
Method forecast not available for this fight yet.
Your pick
Miller · R2FightIQ called it

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
MillerOliveira
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
MillerOliveira
Slight edge: Oliveira
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
MillerOliveira
Slight edge: Oliveira

Fight Shape

Historical UFC women's flyweight · 3-round fights · 142 fights · past 5 years
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
79%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
66%typical
Full distance
64%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS MILLER
Miller
-355
DraftKings
Oliveira
+280
DraftKings
75%25%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 70%·MARKET ESTIMATE 75%
The market favors Miller more strongly than FightIQ does.
History at Similar Prices
74%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 74% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedMiller-250-355Oliveira+205+280
Aug 3, 5pm UTC → Aug 8, 9pm UTC62 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: 6.2 probability pts toward Miller.
MillerOliveira
-355+280Aug 3, 5pmAug 8, 9pm
Aug 8, 9pm UTCMiller -355Oliveira +280
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
Miller
-320
FanDuel · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC
Oliveira
+280
DraftKings · Aug 8, 9:00 PM UTC