MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Miller73%

STRONG FAVORITE

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Miller at 73%.

Current moneyline

Miller -485Goff +370

Moneyline · DraftKings · Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

Method forecast not available for this fight yet.

Your pick

Miller · R3FightIQ called it

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC welterweight · 3-round fights · 286 fights · past 5 years

How fights like this one have historically played out.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

63%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

49%typical

Full distance

45%typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS MILLER

Miller

-485

DraftKings

Goff

+370

DraftKings

80%20%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 73%·MARKET ESTIMATE 80%

The market favors Miller more strongly than FightIQ does.

History at Similar Prices

78%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 78% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedMiller-345-485Goff+275+370

Aug 3, 5pm UTC → Aug 9, 12am UTC66 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: 5.2 probability pts toward Miller.

MillerGoff

Aug 9, 12am UTCMiller -485Goff +370

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Miller

-425

BetMGM · Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC

Goff

+370

DraftKings · Aug 9, 12:00 AM UTC