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Fight Night
Lightweight · Main Card
VS
GamrotvsSalkilld
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket

Overview

Forecast
Salkilld59%
SLIGHT FAVORITE
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Salkilld at 59%.

Current moneyline
Gamrot +136Salkilld -162
Moneyline · DraftKings · Aug 9, 2:00 AM UTC
Market ›
How This Fight Ends
Method forecast not available for this fight yet.
Your pick
Salkilld · R1FightIQ called it

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
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STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
GamrotSalkilld
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
GamrotSalkilld
Even
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
GamrotSalkilld
Moderate edge: Salkilld

Fight Shape

Historical UFC · 5-round fights · 217 fights · past 5 years
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
75%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
59%typical
Full distance
42%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS SALKILLD
Gamrot
+136
DraftKings
Salkilld
-162
DraftKings
41%59%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 59%·MARKET ESTIMATE 59%
FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Salkilld.
History at Similar Prices
61%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 61% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedGamrot+120+136Salkilld-142-162
Aug 3, 5pm UTC → Aug 9, 2am UTC68 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: 3.0 probability pts toward Salkilld.
GamrotSalkilld
+136-162Aug 3, 5pmAug 9, 2am
Aug 9, 2am UTCGamrot +136Salkilld -162
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
Gamrot
+142
BetOnline · Aug 9, 2:00 AM UTC
Salkilld
-144
FanDuel · Aug 9, 2:00 AM UTC