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Fight Night
Featherweight · Main Card
VS
Elkinsvsdel Valle
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket

Overview

Forecast
del Valle82%
HEAVY FAVORITE
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors del Valle at 82%.

Current moneyline
Elkins +650del Valle -1000
Moneyline · DraftKings · Aug 9, 1:00 AM UTC
Market ›
How This Fight Ends
Method forecast not available for this fight yet.
Your pick
del Valle · R1FightIQ called it

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
Elkinsdel Valle
Slight edge: del Valle
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
Elkinsdel Valle
Even
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Elkinsdel Valle
Slight edge: del Valle

Fight Shape

Historical UFC featherweight · 3-round fights · 282 fights · past 5 years
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
65%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
51%typical
Full distance
48%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS DEL VALLE
Elkins
+650
DraftKings
del Valle
-1000
DraftKings
13%87%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 82%·MARKET ESTIMATE 87%
The market favors del Valle more strongly than FightIQ does.
History at Similar Prices
84%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 84% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedElkins+575+650del Valle-850-1000
Aug 7, 3pm UTC → Aug 9, 1am UTC39 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: 1.4 probability pts toward del Valle.
Elkinsdel Valle
+650-1000Aug 7, 3pmAug 9, 1am
Aug 9, 1am UTCElkins +650del Valle -1000
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
Elkins
+650
DraftKings · Aug 9, 1:00 AM UTC
del Valle
-925
BetOnline · Aug 9, 1:00 AM UTC