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Virna Jandiroba vs Tatiana Suarez Overview

Fight Night
Strawweight · 3 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastSuarez59%SLIGHT FAVORITE
Your pick
Jandiroba
VS
Suarez
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Suarez at 59%. Tatiana Suarez has the higher recorded striking output at 3 to 2.3 per minute, while the fight profile still points most strongly toward a decision.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO15%
Submission16%
Decision69%

FightIQ model whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
JandirobaMetricSuarez
38Age35
5′3″Height5′5″
64″Reach66″
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
PendingWeigh-inPending

Populates after official weigh-ins.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

2.27Sig. strikes / min2.95
2.86Absorbed / minLower is better1.58
41%Accuracy60%
55%Defense44%
Wrestling & Control
3.13Takedown avg.4.52
39%Takedown accuracy43%
72%Takedown defense80%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Jandiroba

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WTabatha RicciR3 · U-DEC
  2. LMackenzie DernR5 · U-DEC
  3. WYan XiaonanR3 · U-DEC
  4. WAmanda LemosR2 · SUB
  5. WLupita GodinezR3 · U-DEC

Suarez

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WLoopy GodinezR2 · Submission
  2. WAmanda LemosR3 · Decision
  3. LZhang WeiliR5 · U-DEC
  4. WJessica AndradeR2 · Submission
  5. WMontana De La RosaR2 · Submission

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Jandiroba
Checking history…
Suarez
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Carla Esparza: Jandiroba loss, Suarez win.

Lupita Godinez: Jandiroba win, Suarez win.

Amanda Lemos: Jandiroba win, Suarez win.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC women's strawweight · 3-round fights · 161 fights · past 5 years

PRETTY TYPICAL.

This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
81%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
71%Typical
Full distance
68%FightIQ Decision proxy
66%Typical

Reaching the cards is about normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Both are used to the scorecards

Jandiroba has 8 decision wins and Suarez has 4. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds Over Time
JandirobaSuarez
Current+154-185
First tracked+154-185
Current · DraftKings
First tracked · DraftKings · Nov 1, 6:00 PM UTC
MovementNot enough comparable history yet
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedJandiroba+160+154Suarez-192-185
Oct 30, 5pm UTC → Nov 1, 6pm UTC3 observations
JandirobaSuarez
+154-185Oct 30, 5pmNov 1, 6pm
Nov 1, 6pm UTCJandiroba +154Suarez -185
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
FightIQ & market comparison
WinnerSuarez
FightIQ59%Market62%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Suarez.

How market probabilities are calculated

Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.

History at similar prices63%

UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 63% historically.

  • 896 UFC fights
  • 1–99% market probability range
  • All UFC weight classes
  • Jan 2023–Aug 2026
Historical context · not a prediction for this fight
Compare sportsbook prices6 sportsbooks
SportsbookJandirobaSuarez
DraftKings+154-185
BetMGM+150-185
BetOnline+149-175
Sportsbook market+153-177
Betrivers+163-205
Betus+146-175