Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Overview

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RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

HOW THEY USUALLY WIN

Verified win-method counts and finish rate

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision

Kareckaite

KO/TKO2SUB0DEC4

6 tracked wins · 33% finish rate · Avg. finish: Round —

Gatto

KO/TKO3SUB4DEC2

9 tracked wins · 78% finish rate · Avg. finish: Round 1.7

Historical UFC women's flyweight · 3-round fights · 132 fights · past 5 years

How fights like this one have historically played out.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

79%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

66%typical

Full distance

64%typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

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Line Movement

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