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Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Overview

Fight Night
Featherweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastCosta62%FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Allen
VS
Costa
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Costa at 62%.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO44%
Submission11%
Decision45%

Historical UFC featherweight · 5-round fights · 28 fights · past 5 years · historical context, not a second forecast

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
AllenMetricCosta
32Age29
5′8″Height5′10″
70″Reach71″
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
PendingWeigh-inPending

Populates after official weigh-ins.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

3.47Sig. strikes / min4.38
3.04Absorbed / minLower is better2.97
42%Accuracy49%
60%Defense54%
Wrestling & Control
1.24Takedown avg.1.53
60%Takedown accuracy40%
71%Takedown defense51%
0.30Submission avg.1.10
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Allen

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WMelquizael CostaR5 · U-DEC
  2. LJean SilvaR3 · Decision
  3. WGiga ChikadzeR3 · Decision
  4. LMovsar EvloevR3 · Decision
  5. LMax HollowayR5 · Decision

Costa

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LArnold AllenR5 · U-DEC
  2. WDan IgeR1 · KO/TKO
  3. WMorgan CharriereR1 · KO/TKO
  4. WJulian ErosaR3 · U-DEC
  5. WChristian RodriguezR3 · U-DEC

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Allen
Checking history…
Costa
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Allen won the prior meeting by U-DEC.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC featherweight · 5-round fights · 28 fights · past 5 years

In these past fights, decision was the most common ending (45%). Historical context for this matchup, not a prediction.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
78%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
60%Typical
Full distance
45%Typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Both are used to the scorecards

Allen has 10 decision wins and Costa has 9. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds over time

Current moneyline is not available for this fight.

A comparable second price has not been captured yet.