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Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes Overview

Oliveira vs. Lopes
Lightweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastUnavailable
Your pick
Oliveira
VS
Lopes
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO47%
Submission22%
Decision31%

Historical UFC lightweight · 5-round fights · 29 fights · past 5 years · historical context, not a second forecast

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
OliveiraMetricLopes
37Age31
5′10″Height5′11″
74″Reach72″
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
PendingWeigh-inPending

Populates after official weigh-ins.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

3.23Sig. strikes / min3.83
3.05Absorbed / minLower is better4.56
55%Accuracy47%
48%Defense45%
Wrestling & Control
2.29Takedown avg.0.88
39%Takedown accuracy50%
54%Takedown defense68%
—Submission avg.0.80
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Oliveira

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WMax HollowayR5 · Decision
  2. WMateusz GamrotR2 · Submission
  3. LIlia TopuriaR1 · KO/TKO
  4. WMichael ChandlerR5 · Decision
  5. LArman TsarukyanR3 · Decision

Lopes

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WSteve GarciaR2 · KO/TKO
  2. LAlexander VolkanovskiR5 · U-DEC
  3. WJean SilvaR2 · KO/TKO
  4. LAlexander VolkanovskiR5 · U-DEC
  5. WBrian OrtegaR3 · U-DEC

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Oliveira
Checking history…
Lopes
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

No verified prior meeting or common-opponent comparison is available.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC lightweight · 5-round fights · 29 fights · past 5 years

In these past fights, KO/TKO was the most common ending (47%). Historical context for this matchup, not a prediction.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
68%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
49%Typical
Full distance
31%Typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Lopes's power meets a proven weakness

43% of Lopes's wins come by knockout, and Oliveira has been stopped by strikes 5 times. That is the clearest route to an early night.

Lopes's grappling meets a proven weakness

43% of Lopes's wins come by submission, and Oliveira has tapped 4 times. One bad scramble decides it.

Both are used to the scorecards

Oliveira has 5 decision wins and Lopes has 4. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds Over Time
OliveiraLopes
Current-148+124
Open-148+124
Current · DraftKings
Open · DraftKings · Oct 13, 5:00 PM UTC
MovementThe market held steady.2 comparable observations · DraftKings
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedOliveira-148-148Lopes+124+124
Oct 13, 5pm UTC → Oct 16, 5pm UTC5 observations
OliveiraLopes
-148+124Oct 13, 5pmOct 16, 5pm
Oct 16, 5pm UTCOliveira -148Lopes +124
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Compare sportsbook prices3 sportsbooks
SportsbookOliveiraLopes
DraftKings-148+124
BetOnline-143+122
Betrivers-155+123