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Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit Overview

Gane vs. Hokit
Heavyweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastGane61%FAVORITE
Your pick
Gane
VS
Hokit
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Gane at 61%. Ciryl Gane has the higher recorded striking output at 5.3 to 4.4 per minute, while the fight profile still points most strongly toward a decision.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO37%
Submission15%
Decision48%

FightIQ whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
GaneMetricHokit
36Age29
6′4″Height6′1″
81″Reach74″
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
PendingWeigh-inPending

Populates after official weigh-ins.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

5.29Sig. strikes / min4.43
2.33Absorbed / minLower is better1.15
61%Accuracy65%
60%Defense49%
Wrestling & Control
0.68Takedown avg.0.50
25%Takedown accuracy47%
47%Takedown defense78%
0.10Submission avg.0.30
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Gane

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WAlex PereiraR2 · KO/TKO
  2. NCTom AspinallNC
  3. WAlexander VolkovR3 · Decision
  4. WSerghei SpivacR2 · KO/TKO
  5. LJon JonesR1 · Submission

Hokit

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WDerrick LewisR2 · KO/TKO
  2. WCurtis BlaydesR3 · Decision
  3. WDenzel FreemanR1 · KO/TKO
  4. WMax GimenisR1 · KO/TKO
  5. WGuilherme UrielR2 · KO/TKO

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Gane
Checking history…
Hokit
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Derrick Lewis: Gane win, Hokit win.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC heavyweight · 5-round fights · 23 fights · past 5 years

LONGER THAN HEAVYWEIGHT NORM.

This projects to reach the scorecards more often than a normal fight in this division.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
57%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
45%Typical
Full distance
48%FightIQ
27%Typical

Reaching the cards is much higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

Odds Over Time
GaneHokit
Current-265+215
Open-225+185
Current · DraftKings
Open · DraftKings · Sep 21, 5:00 PM UTC
MovementThe market moved about 3.2 percentage points toward Gane.Market moved about 3.2 points toward Gane.2 comparable observations · DraftKings
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedGane-225-265Hokit+185+215
Sep 21, 5pm UTC → Oct 16, 5pm UTC27 observations
GaneHokit
-265+215Sep 21, 5pmOct 16, 5pm
Oct 16, 5pm UTCGane -265Hokit +215
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
FightIQ & market comparison
WinnerGane
FightIQ61%Market70%

The market favors Gane more strongly than FightIQ does.

How market probabilities are calculated

Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.

History at similar prices69%

UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 69% historically.

  • 896 UFC fights
  • 1–99% market probability range
  • All UFC weight classes
  • Jan 2023–Aug 2026
Historical context · not a prediction for this fight
Compare sportsbook prices4 sportsbooks
SportsbookGaneHokit
DraftKings-265+215
FanDuel-265+200
BetOnline-260+216
Betrivers-275+210