MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Yan59%

SLIGHT FAVORITE

DECISION74%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Yan at 59%.

Current moneyline

Yan -180Dvalishvili +150

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 18%
Submission: 8%
Decision: 74%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC · 5-round fights · 215 fights · past 5 years

LIKELY TO GO LONG. This projects to reach the scorecards more often than a normal fight against the historical UFC five-round baseline.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

75%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

59%typical

Full distance

74%FightIQ

42%typical

Reaching the cards is much higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS YAN

Yan

-180

DraftKings

Dvalishvili

+150

DraftKings

62%38%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 59%·MARKET ESTIMATE 62%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Yan.

History at Similar Prices

63%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 63% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedYan-180-180Dvalishvili+150+150

Sep 14, 5pm UTC → Sep 17, 5pm UTC5 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: held steady.

YanDvalishvili

Sep 17, 5pm UTCYan -180Dvalishvili +150

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Yan

-172

FanDuel · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC

Dvalishvili

+153

BetOnline · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC