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Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Lightweight · Prelims
Dawson
›
24–3–1
W
L
W
W
W
VS
›
Aliev
12–0–0
W
W
W
Dawson
vs
Aliev
Overview
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Overview
Forecast
Dawson
57%
SLIGHT FAVORITE
DECISION
45%
Likely fight outcome
FightIQ Read
FightIQ favors Dawson at 57%.
SHARE THIS FIGHT
How This Fight Ends
FightIQ
UFC History
FIGHTIQ
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
28%
Decision
45%
FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST
Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.
Your pick
Dawson
Aliev
Optional prop picks
Track your own calls
Method
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Fight length · 1.5 rounds
Over 1.5 rounds
Under 1.5 rounds
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
Dawson
Aliev
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
Dawson
Aliev
Slight edge: Aliev
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Dawson
Aliev
Clear edge: Dawson
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING STATS
TAKEDOWN STATS
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
HISTORY & COMMON OPPONENTS
Fight Shape
Historical UFC lightweight · 3-round fights · 325 fights · past 5 years
LOW KO RISK.
This projects to end by knockout less often than a normal fight in this division.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
63%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
49%
typical
Full distance
45%
FightIQ
45%
typical
Reaching the cards is about normal here.
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
Odds haven’t loaded for this fight yet. Check back closer to fight night.
Line Movement
No line data yet. Check back closer to fight night.
Best Available Price
Odds not yet available.
