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Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong Overview

Silva vs. Wang
Flyweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastSilva65%STRONG FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Silva
VS
Cong
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Silva at 65%. Natalia Silva is the forecasted side in a matchup that profiles most strongly toward a decision, while Wang Cong still has a credible route to change the fight.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO18%
Submission17%
Decision65%

FightIQ whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
SilvaMetricCong
29Age34
5′4″Height5′6″
65″Reach66″
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
125 lbsWeigh-in124.5 lbs

Official weigh-in results.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

4.81Sig. strikes / min6.22
2.36Absorbed / minLower is better2.19
45%Accuracy56%
66%Defense63%
Wrestling & Control
0.43Takedown avg.0.78
30%Takedown accuracy75%
90%Takedown defense84%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Silva

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WCong WangR5 · U-DEC
  2. WRose NamajunasR3 · U-DEC
  3. WAlexa GrassoR3 · U-DEC
  4. WJessica AndradeR3 · U-DEC
  5. WViviane AraujoR3 · U-DEC

Cong

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LNatalia SilvaR5 · U-DEC
  2. WTracy CortezR3 · U-DEC
  3. WEduarda MouraR3 · Decision
  4. WAriane LipskiR3 · Decision
  5. WBruna BrasilR3 · U-DEC

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Silva
Checking history…
Cong
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Silva won the prior meeting by U-DEC.

Victoria Leonardo: Silva win, Cong win.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC women's flyweight · 5-round fights · 11 fights · past 5 years

PRETTY TYPICAL.

This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
83%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
71%Typical
Full distance
65%FightIQ
65%Typical

Reaching the cards is about normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Both are used to the scorecards

Silva has 17 decision wins and Cong has 6. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds Over Time
SilvaCong
At event start-205+170
Open-205+170
Event-time · DraftKings
Open · DraftKings · Sep 14, 5:00 PM UTC
MovementThe market held steady.68 comparable observations · DraftKings
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedSilva-205-205Cong+170+170
Sep 14, 5pm UTC → Oct 3, 11pm UTC68 observations
SilvaCong
-205+170Sep 14, 5pmOct 3, 11pm
Oct 3, 11pm UTCSilva -205Cong +170
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
FightIQ & market comparison
WinnerSilva
FightIQ65%Market64%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Silva.

MethodSubmissionFightIQ17%Market12%
MethodFightIQMarket
KO/TKO18%20%
Submission17%12%
Decision65%68%

This is context, not a recommendation.

How market probabilities are calculated

Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.

History at similar prices65%

UFC fighters at comparable market prices have won 65% historically.

  • 896 UFC fights
  • 1–99% market probability range
  • All UFC weight classes
  • Jan 2023–Aug 2026
Historical context · not a prediction for this fight
Compare sportsbook prices6 sportsbooks
SportsbookSilvaCong
DraftKings-205+170
FanDuel-198+166
BetMGM-220+180
BetOnline-200+169
Sportsbook market-205+175
Betrivers-205+163