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Silva vs. Wang
Flyweight · Main Card
VS
SilvavsCong
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket

Overview

Forecast
Silva65%
STRONG FAVORITE
DECISION65%
Likely fight outcome
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Silva at 65%.

Current moneyline
Silva -205Cong +170
Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC
Market ›
How This Fight Ends
FIGHTIQ
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
17%
Decision
65%
FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST
Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.
Your pick
Optional prop picksTrack your own calls
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
SilvaCong
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
SilvaCong
Slight edge: Cong
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
SilvaCong
Moderate edge: Cong

Fight Shape

LIKELY TO GO THE DISTANCE. This projects to reach the scorecards more often than it ends early.

Market

MARKET FAVORS SILVA
Silva
-205
DraftKings
Cong
+170
DraftKings
64%36%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 65%·MARKET ESTIMATE 64%
FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Silva.
History at Similar Prices
65%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 65% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First capturedLatest capturedSilva-205-205Cong+170+170
Sep 14, 5pm UTC → Sep 17, 5pm UTC5 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: held steady.
SilvaCong
-205+170Sep 14, 5pmSep 17, 5pm
Sep 17, 5pm UTCSilva -205Cong +170
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
Silva
-205
DraftKings · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC
Cong
+184
FanDuel · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC