MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Talbott78%

HEAVY FAVORITE

DECISION59%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Talbott at 78%.

Current moneyline

Figueiredo +490Talbott -675

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 27%
Submission: 14%
Decision: 59%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC bantamweight · 3-round fights · 276 fights · past 5 years

PRETTY TYPICAL. This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

73%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

63%typical

Full distance

59%FightIQ

59%typical

Reaching the cards is about normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS TALBOTT

Figueiredo

+490

DraftKings

Talbott

-675

DraftKings

16%84%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 78%·MARKET ESTIMATE 84%

The market favors Talbott more strongly than FightIQ does.

History at Similar Prices

81%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 81% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedFigueiredo+490+490Talbott-675-675

Sep 14, 5pm UTC → Sep 17, 5pm UTC5 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: held steady.

FigueiredoTalbott

Sep 17, 5pm UTCFigueiredo +490Talbott -675

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Figueiredo

+505

BetOnline · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC

Talbott

-625

Betrivers · Sep 17, 5:00 PM UTC