MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Jourdain62%

FAVORITE

DECISION56%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Jourdain at 62%.

Current moneyline

Vera +170Jourdain -205

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 26%
Submission: 18%
Decision: 56%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC bantamweight · 3-round fights · 279 fights · past 5 years

PRETTY TYPICAL. This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

73%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

63%typical

Full distance

57%FightIQ

58%typical

Reaching the cards is about normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS JOURDAIN

Vera

+170

DraftKings

Jourdain

-205

DraftKings

36%64%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 62%·MARKET ESTIMATE 64%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Jourdain.

History at Similar Prices

65%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 65% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedVera+200+170Jourdain-245-205

Sep 3, 5pm UTC → Sep 18, 1pm UTC29 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: 3.6 probability pts toward Vera.

VeraJourdain

Sep 18, 1pm UTCVera +170Jourdain -205

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Vera

+190

BetMGM · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Jourdain

-205

DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC