MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Van56%

SLIGHT FAVORITE

DECISION60%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Van at 56%.

Current moneyline

Van -135Pantoja +114

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 28%
Submission: 12%
Decision: 60%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC · 5-round fights · 219 fights · past 5 years

LIKELY TO GO LONG. This projects to reach the scorecards more often than a normal fight against the historical UFC five-round baseline.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

75%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

59%typical

Full distance

60%FightIQ

42%typical

Reaching the cards is much higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS VAN

Van

-135

DraftKings

Pantoja

+114

DraftKings

55%45%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 56%·MARKET ESTIMATE 55%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Van.

Method disagreement

FightIQ sees Decision 60%; the no-vig market is 35%.

History at Similar Prices

56%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 56% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedVan-112-135Pantoja-108+114

Aug 28, 5pm UTC → Sep 18, 1pm UTC36 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: 4.7 probability pts toward Van.

VanPantoja

Sep 18, 1pm UTCVan -135Pantoja +114

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Van

-134

FanDuel · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Pantoja

+117

BetOnline · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC