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UFC 331
Flyweight · Early Prelims
O'Neill
›
11–2–0
W
L
L
W
W
VS
›
Moura
12–2–0
L
W
W
L
W
O'Neill
vs
Moura
Overview
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Overview
Forecast
O'Neill
62%
FAVORITE
DECISION
62%
Likely fight outcome
FightIQ Read
FightIQ favors O'Neill at 62%.
Current moneyline
O'Neill
-225
Moura
+185
Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC
Market ›
SHARE THIS FIGHT
How This Fight Ends
FightIQ
UFC History
FIGHTIQ
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Decision
62%
FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST
Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.
Your pick
O'Neill
Moura
Optional prop picks
Track your own calls
Method
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Fight length · 1.5 rounds
Over 1.5 rounds
Under 1.5 rounds
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
O'Neill
Moura
Slight edge: O'Neill
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
O'Neill
Moura
Even
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
O'Neill
Moura
Moderate edge: Moura
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING STATS
TAKEDOWN STATS
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
Fight Shape
Historical UFC women's flyweight · 3-round fights · 140 fights · past 5 years
PRETTY TYPICAL.
This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
78%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
65%
typical
Full distance
62%
FightIQ
63%
typical
Reaching the cards is about normal here.
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS
O'NEILL
O'Neill
-225
DraftKings
Moura
+185
DraftKings
66%
34%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
FightIQ vs Market
FIGHTIQ FORECAST 62%
·
MARKET ESTIMATE 66%
The market favors O'Neill more strongly than FightIQ does.
History at Similar Prices
67%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 67% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Tracked line · DraftKings
First captured
Latest captured
O'Neill
-180
-225
Moura
+150
+185
Sep 3, 5pm UTC → Sep 18, 1pm UTC
29 observations
No-vig moneyline shift: 4.7 probability pts toward O'Neill.
O'Neill
Moura
-225
+185
Sep 3, 5pm
Sep 18, 1pm
Sep 18, 1pm UTC
O'Neill -225
Moura +185
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
Best Available Price
O'Neill
-215
BetOnline · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC
Moura
+195
Sportsbook market · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC
Compare 6 sportsbooks
›
