MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Brito75%

HEAVY FAVORITE

DECISION46%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Brito at 75%.

Current moneyline

Chikadze +320Brito -410

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 37%
Submission: 17%
Decision: 46%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC featherweight · 3-round fights · 289 fights · past 5 years

PRETTY TYPICAL. This projection is close to the normal fight in this division.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

65%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

51%typical

Full distance

46%FightIQ

48%typical

Reaching the cards is about normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS BRITO

Chikadze

+320

DraftKings

Brito

-410

DraftKings

23%77%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 75%·MARKET ESTIMATE 77%

FightIQ and the market are closely aligned on Brito.

Method disagreement

FightIQ sees Submission 17%; the no-vig market is 42%.

History at Similar Prices

76%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 76% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedChikadze+275+320Brito-345-410

Sep 3, 5pm UTC → Sep 18, 1pm UTC29 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: 2.7 probability pts toward Brito.

ChikadzeBrito

Sep 18, 1pm UTCChikadze +320Brito -410

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Chikadze

+340

BetMGM · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Brito

-410

DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC