MMA Fight Prediction & Matchup

Overview

Forecast

Yoo61%

FAVORITE

DECISION57%

Likely fight outcome

FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Yoo at 61%.

Current moneyline

Aswell Jr. +185Yoo -225

Moneyline · DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Market ›

How This Fight Ends

KO/TKO: 33%
Submission: 10%
Decision: 57%

FIGHTIQ METHOD FORECAST

Fighter and matchup data, informed by historical fight patterns.

Your pick

Optional prop picksTrack your own calls

Method

Fight length · 1.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL

Quality of each fighter's recent competition.

Fight Shape

Historical UFC featherweight · 3-round fights · 289 fights · past 5 years

LIKELY TO GO LONG. This projects to reach the scorecards more often than a normal fight in this division.

How long comparable fights last

Past 1.5 rounds

65%typical

Past 2.5 rounds

51%typical

Full distance

57%FightIQ

48%typical

Reaching the cards is higher than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Market

MARKET FAVORS YOO

Aswell Jr.

+185

DraftKings

Yoo

-225

DraftKings

34%66%

Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.

FightIQ vs Market

FIGHTIQ FORECAST 61%·MARKET ESTIMATE 66%

The market favors Yoo more strongly than FightIQ does.

History at Similar Prices

67%

UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 67% historically.

Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight

Odds Over Time

Tracked line · DraftKings

First capturedLatest capturedAswell Jr.+225+185Yoo-278-225

Sep 14, 5pm UTC → Sep 18, 1pm UTC18 observations

No-vig moneyline shift: 4.1 probability pts toward Aswell Jr..

Aswell Jr.Yoo

Sep 18, 1pm UTCAswell Jr. +185Yoo -225

Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.

Best Available Price

Aswell Jr.

+185

DraftKings · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC

Yoo

-200

BetMGM · Sep 18, 1:00 PM UTC