It's close, but the lean lands on Turner because of what he can do in a single exchange — 11 knockouts and a 77-inch reach mean he only needs one clean connection against a smaller man to end it. Fernandes has never been finished, but he's also never faced this combination of length and power, and Turner's takedown defense at 75% makes it hard to simply avoid the striking.
| Outcome | FightIQ | Typical | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| KO/TKO | 51% | 38% | +13 pts |
| Submission | 19% | 18% | +1 pt |
| Decision | 30% | 44% | −14 pts |