Orolbai's control game is the difference-maker — he stacks minutes of dominant position while Wells only stops half the takedowns thrown at him. That gap in offensive grappling volume, plus a real dual finishing threat on the feet and the mat, gives Orolbai the more repeatable path to winning rounds.
| Outcome | FightIQ | Typical | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| KO/TKO | 28% | 37% | −9 pts |
| Submission | 18% | 18% | Even |
| Decision | 54% | 45% | +9 pts |