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UFC
UFC 330
Álvarez
L
W
W
W
W
VS
Welterweight · Final
Njokuani
L
L
W
W
W
Read
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Read
FightIQ Forecast
Njokuani
Moderate Edge
63
FightIQ Score
How the fight ends · whole-fight probabilities
KO/TKO
46%
Sub
17%
Dec
37%
Matchup
ÁLVAREZ
STRIKER
VS
NJOKUANI
POWER STRIKER
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
Álvarez
Njokuani
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
Álvarez
Njokuani
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Álvarez
Njokuani
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Álvarez
96% finish rate · 1.3 avg round
Njokuani
62% finish rate · 1.6 avg round
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING
WRESTLING & CONTROL
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
KO DANGER.
The knockout risk here runs clearly above the divisional norm.
Outcome
FightIQ
Typical
Diff
KO/TKO
46%
37%
+9 pts
Submission
17%
18%
−1 pt
Decision
37%
45%
−8 pts
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
63%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
50%
typical
Full distance
37%
FightIQ
45%
typical
Reaching the cards is lower than normal here.
Why this fight may differ
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS
NJOKUANI
Álvarez
+1600
Current
Njokuani
-4800
Current
6%
94%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
History at Similar Prices
88%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 88% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Álvarez
Njokuani
+1600
-4800
Aug 10, 2pm
Aug 16, 1am
58 observations · DraftKings
The line moved toward Njokuani across 58 captured observations.
Best Available Price
Álvarez
+1600
DraftKings
Njokuani
+280
BetOnline
Compare 4 sportsbooks
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Your pick
Njokuani · R3
FightIQ called it
