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Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry Overview

UFC 330
Welterweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastMakhachev75%HEAVY FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Makhachev
VS
Garry
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Makhachev at 75%.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO29%
Submission29%
Decision42%

FightIQ model whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
MakhachevMetricGarry
34Age28
5′10″Height6′3″
70″Reach74″
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
170 lbsWeigh-in170 lbs

Official weigh-in results.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

2.45Sig. strikes / min4.78
1.45Absorbed / minLower is better2.86
58%Accuracy54%
61%Defense52%
Wrestling & Control
3.10Takedown avg.0.92
56%Takedown accuracy31%
91%Takedown defense80%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Makhachev

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WIan GarryR5 · U-DEC
  2. WJack Della MaddalenaR5 · Decision
  3. WRenato MoicanoR1 · Submission
  4. WDustin PoirierR5 · Submission
  5. WAlexander VolkanovskiR1 · KO/TKO

Garry

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LIslam MakhachevR5 · U-DEC
  2. WBelal MuhammadR3 · U-DEC
  3. WCarlos PratesR5 · U-DEC
  4. LShavkat RakhmonovR5 · U-DEC
  5. WMichael PageR3 · U-DEC

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Makhachev
Checking history…
Garry
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

No verified prior meeting or common-opponent comparison is available.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC welterweight · 5-round fights · 27 fights · past 5 years

SUBMISSION STANDS OUT.

The submission threat here is well above what fights in this division usually produce.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
78%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
67%Typical
Full distance
41%FightIQ Decision proxy
47%Typical

Reaching the cards is lower than normal here.

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Both are used to the scorecards

Makhachev has 11 decision wins and Garry has 9. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds over time

Current moneyline is not available for this fight.

A comparable second price has not been captured yet.