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UFC
UFC 330
Fernando
W
W
W
W
L
VS
Light Heavyweight · Final
Tobias
L
W
W
W
W
Read
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Read
FightIQ Forecast
Fernando
Moderate Edge
66
FightIQ Score
Matchup
FERNANDO
VS
TOBIAS
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
Fernando
Tobias
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
Fernando
Tobias
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Fernando
Tobias
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Fernando
71% finish rate · 1.5 avg round
Tobias
79% finish rate · 1.2 avg round
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING
WRESTLING & CONTROL
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
54%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
39%
typical
Full distance
34%
typical
Why this fight may differ
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS
FERNANDO
Fernando
-4000
Current
Tobias
+1500
Current
94%
6%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
History at Similar Prices
88%
UFC favorites at comparable prices have won 88% historically.
Historical context · Not a prediction for this fight
Odds Over Time
Fernando
Tobias
-4000
+1500
Aug 5, 1pm
Aug 15, 11pm
69 observations · DraftKings
The line moved toward Fernando across 69 captured observations.
Best Available Price
Fernando
-265
BetOnline
Tobias
+1500
DraftKings
Compare 4 sportsbooks
›
Your pick
Fernando · R3
FightIQ called it
