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No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
GarbrandtYanez
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
GarbrandtYanez
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
GarbrandtYanez
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Garbrandt
Method data available for 15 of 16 recorded wins · 73% finish rate · — avg round
Yanez
78% finish rate · 1.7 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
74%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
63%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS YANEZ
22%78%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Garbrandt+320→+340
Yanez-410→-430
SHARP move
The line has drifted since opening.
Best Available Price