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No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
VS
MCKINNEY
SUBMISSION GRAPPLER
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
GreenMcKinney
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
GreenMcKinney
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
GreenMcKinney
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Green
64% finish rate · 1.6 avg round
McKinney
Method data available for 18 of 19 recorded wins · 100% finish rate · 1.1 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
64%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
50%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS GREEN
51%49%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Green+130→-112
McKinney-155→-104
SHARP move · toward Green
The line moved toward Green since opening.
Best Available Price