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No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
ROYVAL
SUBMISSION GRAPPLER
VS
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
RoyvalKavanagh
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
RoyvalKavanagh
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
RoyvalKavanagh
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Royval
78% finish rate · 1.7 avg round
Kavanagh
50% finish rate · 1.8 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
70%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
55%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS KAVANAGH
32%68%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Royval+164→+198
Kavanagh-198→-240
SHARP move · toward Kavanagh
The line moved toward Kavanagh since opening.
Best Available Price
